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For Kioxia, the best alternative is a public offering, not a sale of assets
02.04.2021 [06:56],
Alexey Razin

The rumors that appeared yesterday about the intentions of Western Digital or Micron to buy the assets of rival Kioxia could be considered an April Fools’ rally, if not for the growth of the shares of the first two companies by 6.9 and 4.8%, respectively, and Toshiba shares — by 4.6%. Bloomberg sources claim, however, that Kioxia is counting on an IPO, not an asset sale.

Image Source: Getty Images

For existing shareholders, including Toshiba and Bain Capital, Kioxia’s IPO, which has been delayed since its independence in 20221, is the best way to raise capital and support investors. Sources interviewed by Bloomberg who are familiar with the situation are convinced of this. According to independent experts, now Kioxia could claim a capitalization of $ 36 billion, which is twice as much as in 20221. Representatives of the company did not comment on the rumors, but confirmed Kioxia’s determination to find the right time to go public.

For the sale of assets, the market situation is far from favorable, according to experts. Kioxia is the second largest manufacturer of solid state memory with a market share of 18.8%. Samsung Electronics (33.7%) remains the leader, Western Digital Corporation is content with the third place with 14.4% of the market according to Omdia, and Micron Technology, with a much larger own capitalization, is limited to the fourth place and 11.3% of the market. Both of the latter companies are American, and a deal of this magnitude, which would create a giant capable of rivalry with Samsung, would inevitably run into opposition from antitrust authorities, especially the Chinese, which recently prevented the purchase of Japanese Kokusai Electric by the American equipment manufacturer Applied Materials.

Of course, the participants in the transaction could optimize their expenses through consolidation, but the number of market players would be reduced from five to four, and there would be more temptations to abuse market positions. This factor would certainly have been taken into account by the antimonopoly authorities of other countries when negotiating a deal. Bloomberg sources, however, did not put an end to the idea of ​​selling Kioxia assets, because shareholders of a company like Bain Capital may consider an alternative to the upcoming IPO.

The deal could also be opposed by SK hynix, which remains a shareholder of Kioxia, and therefore is not interested in transferring the assets of the Japanese manufacturer into the hands of competitors. The Korean company recently agreed with Intel to buy the latest 3D NAND memory business in China to better protect itself from the expansion of Chinese competitors.

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